NAR released its latest pending home sales index figure last week and for the second month in a row the index is up. But more than that, the index has broken 100. This is significant because the only time since the housing boom collapsed that the index has broken 100 is when the home owner tax credit was in effect. The fact that the index has returned to that level a year since the credit has been in effect means the housing market is strengthening completely on its own, without any stimulus.
NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun is upbeat about 2012 because in a number of areas indicators are pointing upward. Not only are home sales up but housing starts are up and home prices are stabilizing in many markets and heading up in some. In areas where they’re still down, the declines aren’t that great. More fundamentally, broader U.S. economic signs are looking positive, including the all-important jobs picture. About 100,000 job are being created a month, and that could rise to 150,000—still not a quick enough pace to get us back to where we were before the downturn but the headwinds are in the right direction.
Having households with loans higher than their value will keep prices down while creating major obstacles for sellers in 2012. So my prediction (yes, sans crystal ball I don't think I'm going out on a limb!) is that 2012 is going to be another homebuyer's market. In fact, recent studies indicate that more than 20 percent of all residential properties that have a mortgage lean are still underwater, leading us to believe that many foreclosures and short sales are still to come.
On a more positive note, even the most conservative forecasts are calling for growth in home sales in 2012, and more than one-third of home resales were made to first-time buyers in 2011 -- another good sign. So, as I like to point out, there will always be a need for homes. People still need to make changes based on their careers, lifestyle, and family needs. It is just simply that the intense demand created by the inexpensive loan rates combined with the easy availability of loan money, made a demand for housing that wasn't sustainable. As we move forward, we all need to work on being more focussed on long-term needs and gains. Credible and Sustainable is what I believe is the future for all of us. I feel we've all had enough of greed and short-term gain, which is not working out so well for America overall.
In the meantime, here are some tips for selling your home or buying one in 2012.
Price it right from the start, period.
This is imperative if you want to sell your home and obtain the most money possible in the current climate. Many real estate sellers will not be happy to hear this and right now are crossing their arms and thinking that holding out for a better offer is just what they'll do. But beware, your home will be brushed off by most homebuyers. Buyers are not easily fooled with the information age. And, even the lease internet savvy buyers are capable of viewing a few homes and then knowing if your home is a good value or not. So, if you price your home competitively in the your neighborhood, you'll be the one to receive the best offer possible and save yourself the additional mortgage payments, taxes, insurance, and utilities. If you price high and must lower to sell, statistics show you'll get lower offers than if originally priced correctly and you still have all of the carrying costs of your home while you were stubborn. Consider this from the National Association of Realtors that of homes that took four months or more to sell in the past year, almost half of their owners accepted less than 90 percent of the final asking price. I sit down with my clients and we review the latest comparable sales including short sales and foreclosures, as well as a recent summary of sales prices versus original list prices, and homes that didn't sell. The homes actual market value is usually quite apparent and difficult to argue over.
Make the best first impression
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS ABOUT SELLING YOUR HOME OR BUYING A NEW ONE, please DON'T HESITATE TO CALL, TEXT OR EMAIL ME. 614-657-2005 or abumpus@insight.rr.com
My promise to my clients: I try to always remember what it is like to walk into this incredibly complex world of buying and selling with little or no knowledge of how the process works. I know that behind the door of your home and in your life there is much more going on than just your real estate transaction. I work with each person, not the house, and with the whole person, not just the issues surrounding the transaction. When I attempt to put myself in your shoes and contemplate what you are dealing with I am most effective.
The Benadum Team
Amy Bumpus
Straight Talk—Always