Tuesday, June 14, 2011

Let's Stop the DOOM & GLOOM-at least in real estate!


Whew,  avoided the end of the world a couple of weeks ago!  But wait the continuation of doom and gloom continues..... now we have the “end of the world” type coverage the Case-Shiller housing study is announcing, GEEZ, maybe we are nearing the end.
Just kidding folks, but seriously I am amazed at the attention this report gets. It covers 20 markets, YES ONLY 20, and that is just one of its many flaws. Yet many consider it “the be-all-and-end-all” economic indicator that defines our entire national housing profile. We all know real estate is local, and it is unfortunate that the reporting on a 20-city “national” index can have such a jarring impact on otherwise rational people.
Look at some of the headlines the other day:
“Home prices at lowest point since 2006 bust”
“Home values continue downward churn”

“No relief in sight’ for falling home prices”
And even in paradise – Maui- the front page headline in the paper screamed “Crash Spreads.”   And Maui isn’t one of the 20 markets the report covers. In fact the nearest market covered is San Diego, a mere 2500 miles away!
Ok, if you are a home owner or are buying or selling a home, you have a right to be nervous, but I can’t say this enough. Now is the smartest time in my 10 years in real estate to buy a home if you have the lifestyle reason, financial stability and viability to do so.
And it’s all about “Triple I…P”. Inventory, Interest rates, Incentives and Pricing. Start with inventory, because most communities have seen a rise in the amount of homes on the market, you have more choices. Interest rates for mortgages remain at near-historic lows and have actually trended down over the last 7 weeks, with Freddie Mac reporting 30-year fixed rates now averaging 4.55%. Incentives are the tax advantages to home ownership. And of course, there are prices. Prices are down from mid-decade highs, but in many, many markets are showing stability, slight declines or even increases. Home affordability remains near record levels and the price-to-value proposition in most markets is extremely compelling.
If you are interested in buying a home, you owe it to yourself to contact me to do a review on your options. Look at homes, do a rent vs. buy analysis, explore what is available in your price range.
Don’t just take my word for it. Do your homework.
You might just be surprised that the end of the world isn’t here yet … at least until next month’s report.

Here is some other food for thought – consumer sentiment is improving. Consumer spending has been up 10 months in a row. Also, most economists are predicting a 2.8% GDP growth in Q2 up from 1.8% in Q1, certainly not great but at least going up. Obviously the signs for the economy are showing improvement. Home ownership is an investment in your lifestyle and not for everyone. I am a huge proponent of the longterm benefits of owning. Call, email, or text me anytime! 614-657-2005 Amy Bumpus

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